Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.003043 0.003186 0.003331 0.003490 0.003659 0.003835 0.004031
2025-02-23 0.002770 0.002981 0.003205 0.003460 0.003743 0.004049 0.004407
2025-03-02 0.002638 0.002893 0.003170 0.003496 0.003869 0.004285 0.004788
2025-03-09 0.002508 0.002791 0.003106 0.003483 0.003925 0.004432 0.005062
2025-03-16 0.002395 0.002698 0.003041 0.003459 0.003961 0.004547 0.005295
2025-03-23 0.002283 0.002599 0.002960 0.003409 0.003957 0.004610 0.005461
2025-03-30 0.002187 0.002513 0.002891 0.003367 0.003956 0.004672 0.005624
2025-04-06 0.002126 0.002464 0.002861 0.003368 0.004006 0.004796 0.005866
2025-04-13 0.002015 0.002351 0.002749 0.003263 0.003917 0.004737 0.005867
2025-04-20 0.001967 0.002313 0.002727 0.003267 0.003965 0.004853 0.006100
2025-04-27 0.001944 0.002304 0.002739 0.003313 0.004067 0.005043 0.006438
2025-05-04 0.001886 0.002248 0.002691 0.003281 0.004064 0.005091 0.006583
2025-05-11 0.001839 0.002206 0.002658 0.003267 0.004086 0.005174 0.006783
2025-05-18 0.001788 0.002157 0.002616 0.003241 0.004088 0.005231 0.006947
2025-05-25 0.001767 0.002145 0.002620 0.003274 0.004173 0.005403 0.007285
2025-06-01 0.001728 0.002109 0.002592 0.003262 0.004194 0.005485 0.007493
2025-06-08 0.001687 0.002070 0.002557 0.003240 0.004200 0.005546 0.007670
2025-06-15 0.001639 0.002019 0.002507 0.003195 0.004169 0.005552 0.007762
2025-06-22 0.001595 0.001974 0.002462 0.003156 0.004147 0.005567 0.007868
2025-06-29 0.001570 0.001951 0.002447 0.003157 0.004182 0.005668 0.008113
2025-07-06 0.001508 0.001880 0.002364 0.003060 0.004071 0.005547 0.007995
2025-07-13 0.001487 0.001861 0.002352 0.003064 0.004108 0.005648 0.008242
2025-07-20 0.001480 0.001862 0.002368 0.003107 0.004202 0.005842 0.008652